Dividends Value » classics

15 Dividend Stocks With A 15% Yield In 15 Years *

D4L — Wed, 13 Apr 2011 07:30:02 +0000

“I skate to where the puck is going to be, not where it has been.”
- Wayne Gretzky

I know very little about hockey, but I have always loved this quote. It can be applied to so many things in life, including investing. Just as Gretzky has a vision as to where the puck is going, investors need to have a similar vision, and not get caught up on short-sighted distractions. Investing in dividend growth stocks requires a long-term vision. It is easy to run a screen and find stocks that are paying a 15% yield today; but how long will they be able to sustain it? Instead you may want to skate to where the future 15% yielders are going to be. To do that, here are some things you need to know…

Tracking Yield On Cost

Yield-on-cost (YOC) is simply Current Annual Dividend dividend by Original Cost Per Share. YOC not a substitute for calculating an internal rate of return (IRR). The IRR calculation takes into account both capital appreciation and the timing of cash flows (purchases, sells and dividends). However, as a dividend growth investor, my primary focus is on dividend growth and since my desired holding period is forever, capital appreciation is little more than an interesting side note. YOC is much better suited for tracking dividend growth since it is individually tied to a stock and takes into account all the variations of growth rates over time, along with the timing of purchases. Also, it is useful when trying to explain to our income investor brethren why we chose the stock yielding 3% over ‘Amalgamated Risk’ at 8%.

My D4L-Data model includes projections of YOC after 5, 10, 15 and 20 years. These projections are derived by growing the current yield using the dividend growth rate. As for the dividend growth rate, I use the minimum of the 1, 3, 5, 7 or 10 year compound annual growth rates; or 15% if in every consecutive 4-year period dividends grew on average in excess of 15%.

15 Dividend Stocks With A 15% Yield In 15 Years

Sorting the stocks in my D4L-Data model by their 15 Year YOC and throwing out some bad apples, we are left with these 15 stocks that are projected to have a 15% YOC in 15 years:

T. Rowe Price Group Inc. (TROW) operates one of the largest no-load mutual fund complexes in the United States.
Yield: 1.8% | Growth: 15.0% | 15 Year YOC: 15.0%

Cardinal Health Inc. (CAH) is one of the leading wholesale distributors of pharmaceuticals, medical/surgical supplies and related products to a broad range of health care customers.
Yield: 1.8% | Growth: 15.0% | 15 Year YOC: 15.0%

Owens & Minor Inc. (OMI) is a leading domestic distributor of medical and surgical supplies to the acute care market, a health care supply chain management company, and a direct-to-consumer (DTC) supplier of testing and monitoring supplies for diabetes.
Yield: 2.4% | Growth: 13.2% | 15 Year YOC: 15.6%

Praxair Inc. (PX) is the largest producer of industrial gases in North and South America, and the second largest worldwide. It also provides ceramic and metallic coatings.
Yield: 2.0% | Growth: 15.0% | 15 Year YOC: 15.9%

Aflac Incorporated (AFL) provides supplemental health and life insurance in the U.S. and Japan. Products are marketed at worksites and help fill gaps in primary insurance coverage. Approximately 80% of earnings comes from Japan and 20% from the U.S.
Yield: 2.3% | Growth: 15.0% | 15 Year YOC: 18.2%

Stryker Corp. (SYK) makes specialty surgical and medical products such as orthopedic implants, endoscopic items, and hospital beds.
Yield: 1.2% | Growth: 20.0% | 15 Year YOC: 18.6%

Casey’s General Stores Inc. (CASY) has over 1,500 convenience stores in the Midwest, selling food, beverage, health and automotive products.
Yield: 1.3% | Growth: 19.8% | 15 Year YOC: 19.4%

Weyco Group, Inc. (WEYS) distributes, wholesale & retail, men’s branded footwear in the U.S., Canada, Europe; it offers casual footwear, dress shoes and accessories under Florsheim, other brands.
Yield: 2.6% | Growth: 15.0% | 15 Year YOC: 21.0%

Walgreen Co. (WAG) is the largest U.S. retail drug chain in terms of revenues, this company operates more than 8,000 drug stores throughout the U.S. and Puerto Rico.
Yield: 1.7% | Growth: 18.5% | 15 Year YOC: 21.7%

Nucor Corporation (NUE) is the largest minimill steelmaker in the U.S., Nucor has one of the most diverse product lines of any steelmaker in the Americas.
Yield: 3.1% | Growth: 15.0% | 15 Year YOC: 25.5%

McDonald’s Corporation (MCD) is the largest fast-food restaurant company in the world, with about 32,500 restaurants in 117 countries.
Yield: 3.2% | Growth: 15.0% | 15 Year YOC: 26.1%

ConocoPhillips Co. (COP) is the fourth largest integrated oil company in the world, and the second largest in the U.S.
Yield: 3.3% | Growth: 15.0% | 15 Year YOC: 26.6%

People’s United Financial Inc. (PBCT) provides a full range of banking and financial service products to individuals, corporations and municipal customers in the U.S. Northeast.
Yield: 6.0% | Growth: 11.3% | 15 Year YOC: 30.0%

Southside Bancshares Inc. (SBSI) primarily provides financial services to individuals, businesses, municipal entities, and non-profit organizations.
Yield: 3.7% | Growth: 16.6% | 15 Year YOC: 36.9%

Old Republic Intl (ORI) writes property and liability, mortgage guaranty, title and life, and disability insurance.
Yield: 5.4% | Growth: 15.0% | 15 Year YOC: 43.6%

One key component of current yield is risk. If Treasuries (risk free) were paying 7%, 8% or 9%, many income investors and a significant number of dividend growth investors would divert a portion of their portfolios to them.

You will note that most of the above stocks are yielding under 4%. It is also important to note that I do not believe that all the above stocks will achieve their 15 year YOC. In much the same way high-yielding stocks often end up cutting their dividends, many of the above stocks will end up cutting their dividend growth rate. Put another way, there is risk associated low-yield high-dividend-growth stocks. However, for the high dividend growth stocks that perform well over the next 15 years, the rewards are potentially much higher than those of a high-yield, low growth stock.

Full Disclosure: Long OMI, NUE, MCD, COP. See a list of all my income holdings here.

(Photo Credit)

10 Dividend Stocks With With A 10%+ Dividend Growth Rate *

D4L — Wed, 06 Apr 2011 07:30:13 +0000

The difference between an income investor and a dividend growth investor is time and the understanding of how compound growth works. If you are 67 years old and need income today, you will likely select a different group of stocks than an enlightened 27 year old that doesn’t necessarily need the income today. The 27 year old has the the luxury of time to grow a superior yield, while the 67 year old may be forced to assume additional risk to buy a higher current yield. Here are some of the reasons an investor might forgo current yield in hopes of future gain…

Dividend Growth Provides For Inflation

Inflation is the silent killer for many retirement portfolios. Over time, prices tend to increase. If you rely solely on a portfolio of long-term fixed income securities, you will lose purchasing power each year as inflation robs your portfolio. Dividend growth rates on traditional high-yield stocks (e.g. utilities, REITs, etc.) are often less than inflation. However, most blue-chip dividend growth stocks grow their dividends well in excess of the annual inflation rate.

Dividend Growth Often Provides For Higher Value

The combination of a good starting yield and respectable dividend growth will often provide the investor with greater long-term value when compared to alternatives with higher current yields and lower growth dividend rates. The only way to know for sure is to run the numbers using a model such as my D4L-PreScreen.xls.

Compound Dividend Growth Is Powerful

Compound interest is what occurs when interest previously earned is added to the principle and is considered when calculating future interest – i.e. earning interest on interest. Compound dividends are like compound interest on steroids. Like compound interest, dividends are being reinvested. However, these dividends are growing which provides and added boost.

Conservative View Of Dividend Growth

The dividend growth rate is a key metric in many calculations. As such, I use a conservative estimate as follows: The minimum dividend growth rate of the 1, 3, 5, 7, 10 year compound annual growth rate or 15%, if dividends grew on average in excess of 15% for each consecutive 4 year periods, within the last 10 years of history.

10 Stocks With a 10%+ Dividend Growth Rate

General Dynamics Corp. (GD) | Yield: 2.5% | Growth: 10.1%
General Dynamics is the world’s fifth largest military contractor and also one of the world’s biggest makers of corporate jets. GD is a member of the S&P 500 a member of the Broad Dividend Achievers™ Index. The company has paid a cash dividend to shareholders every year since 1979 and has increased its dividend payments for 19 consecutive years.

Hormel Foods Corp. (HRL) | Yield: 1.9% | Growth: 10.6%
Hormel Foods Corp. company is a leading processor of branded, convenience meat products (primarily pork) for the consumer market. HRL is a member of the S&P 500, a Dividend Aristocrat and a member of the Broad Dividend Achievers™ Index and a Dividend Champion. The company has paid a cash dividend to shareholders every year since 1928 and has increased its dividend payments for 45 consecutive years.

Wal-Mart Stores Inc. (WMT) | Yield: 2.8% | Growth: 11.0%
Wal-Mart Stores, Inc. is the largest retailer in North America, WMT operates a chain of discount department stores, wholesale clubs, and combination discount stores and supermarkets. WMT is a member of the S&P 500, a Dividend Aristocrat and a member of the Broad Dividend Achievers™ Index and a Dividend Champion. The company has paid a cash dividend to shareholders every year since 1973 and has increased its dividend payments for 36 consecutive years.

Colgate-Palmolive Co. (CL) | Yield: 2.9% | Growth: 12.5%
Colgate-Palmolive Company (Colgate) is a major consumer products company that markets oral, personal and household care, and pet nutrition products in more than 200 countries and territories. CL is a member of the S&P 500 and a member of the Broad Dividend Achievers™ Index and a Dividend Champion. The company has paid a cash dividend to shareholders every year since 1895 and has increased its dividend payments for 47 consecutive years.

Owens & Minor Inc. (OMI) | Yield: 2.6% | Growth: 13.2%
Owens & Minor Inc. is a leading domestic distributor of medical and surgical supplies to the acute care market, a health care supply chain management company, and a direct-to-consumer (DTC) supplier of testing and monitoring supplies for diabetes. OMI is a member of the Broad Dividend Achievers™ Index. The company has paid a cash dividend to shareholders every year since 1926 and has increased its dividend payments for 13 consecutive years.

ConocoPhillips (COP) | Yield: 3.3% | Growth: 13.2%
ConocoPhillips Co. is the fourth largest integrated oil company in the world. COP is a member of the S&P 500 a member of the Broad Dividend Achievers™ Index. The company has paid a cash dividend to shareholders every year since 1934 and has increased its dividend payments for 10 consecutive years.

Target Corp. (TGT) | Yield: 2.0% | Growth: 15.5%
Target Corp. operates about 1,500 Target and 250 SuperTarget general merchandise stores across the U.S. TGT is a member of the S&P 500, a Dividend Aristocrat and a member of the Broad Dividend Achievers™ Index and a Dividend Champion. The company has paid a cash dividend to shareholders every year since 1965 and has increased its dividend payments for 43 consecutive years.

Southside Bancshares Inc. (SBSI) | Yield: 3.2% | Growth: 16.6%
Southside Bancshares Inc. primarily provides financial services to individuals, businesses, municipal entities, and non-profit organizations. SBSI is a member of the Broad Dividend Achievers™ Index. The company has paid a cash dividend to shareholders every year since 1969 and has increased its dividend payments for 12 consecutive years.

Walgreen Co. (WAG) | Yield: 1.7% | Growth: 18.5%
Walgreen Co is the largest U.S. retail drug chain in terms of revenues, this company operates more than 8,000 drug stores throughout the U.S. and Puerto Rico. WAG is a member of the S&P 500, a Dividend Aristocrat and a member of the Broad Dividend Achievers™ Index and a Dividend Champion. The company has paid a cash dividend to shareholders every year since 1933 and has increased its dividend payments for 36 consecutive years.

Casey’s General Stores Inc. (CASY) | Yield: 1.4% | Growth: 19.8%
Casey’s General Stores Inc. has over 1,500 convenience stores in the Midwest, selling food, beverage, health and automotive products. CASY is a member of the Broad Dividend Achievers™ Index. The company has paid a cash dividend to shareholders every year since 1990 and has increased its dividend payments for 10 consecutive years.

Conclusion

If time is on your side, you should investigate if certain lower yielding stocks with a dividend growth rate fits into your long-term investment strategy. When making this evaluation, it is important to note that the sustainability of the dividend growth rate must be evaluated on a go-forward basis. Like high-yield stocks, there is increasing risk as the dividend growth rises.

Full Disclosure: Long GD, WMT, CL, OMI, COP. See a list of all my income holdings here.

(Photo Credit)

Why Dividend Stocks Are Evil *

D4L — Wed, 30 Mar 2011 07:30:15 +0000

I can’t carry on anymore. The secret has become too much of a burden and it must be shared with the masses. This will shock some and enrage others, but it must be said, and I should be the one to say it. Dividend stocks are evil and they will eventually lead to the collapse of western civilization as we know it. There, I said it and here is why I believe it…

Dividend Stocks Empowers People

By starting early in life and building a portfolio of dividend growth stocks, people are empowering themselves and taking charge of their future. At first blush, this may not sound like a bad thing but consider the consequences. Lord Acton saw the problem more than a century ago when he stated “All power tends to corrupt; absolute power corrupts absolutely.” Power is meant for the government, not people. The government has a much more experience with corruption than individuals.

Dividend Stocks Weakens The Need For Government

Power is like mass, it can not be created or destroyed. Any gains in power in one area must be offset by a loss in another. When people make wise financial decisions and are empowered with a secure and independent future, this power must come from somewhere, and in this case it is to the detriment of our beloved government. The foundation of our modern government is a needy society beholden to its benevolent hand. If the masses aren’t relying on the government to sustain their meager existence in retirement, how can we continue to justify our current behemoth governmental infrastructure and expenditures. And even worse, a shift of power to the people could go to their heads and eventually lead to them demanding accountability from their elected officials. This is sacrilege!

Dividend Stocks Will Destroy The World Economy

If individuals start making wise financial decisions and investing in dividend stocks instead of buying “stuff” produced around the world. The world economy could collapse. Imagine what would happen if we stopped buying plastic stuff made in China – their government would not be able to fund all their military endeavors. This would leave them open to another student up rising in Tiananmen Square, and this time the government may not be able to silence the people.

7 Dividend Stocks To Bring Down Financial System

The financial system does not like radical change. Responsible behavior and fewer imports could lead to lead to smaller government and less debt. Less debt would keep interest rates low as buyers bid up the price of the remaining debt. Perpetually low interest rates would stimulate the economy and cause stress on the financial institutions as they tried in vain to keep up with a robust economy.

You’ve been warned. You will set in motion a cataclysmic chain of events if act responsibly and buy good dividend stocks such as these:

Abbott Laboratories (ABT) | Yield: 4.0%
Abbott Laboratories is a diversified life science company and is a leading maker of drugs, nutritional products, diabetes monitoring devices, and diagnostics.

Cincinnati Financial Corp. (CINF) | Yield: 4.9%
Cincinnati Financial Corp. markets primarily property and casualty coverage. It also conducts life insurance and asset management operations.

Colgate-Palmolive Co. (CL) | Yield: 3.0%
Colgate-Palmolive Company (Colgate) is a major consumer products company that markets oral, personal and household care, and pet nutrition products in more than 200 countries and territories.

ConocoPhillips (COP) | Yield: 3.5%
ConocoPhillips Co. is the fourth largest integrated oil company in the world, and the second largest in the U.S.

Kimberly-Clark Corporation (KMB) | Yield: 4.3%
Kimberly Clark Corp. is a global consumer products company that produces tissue, personal care and health care. Its brands include Huggies, Pull-Ups, Kotex, Depend, Kleenex, Scott and Kimberly-Clark.

Pepsico, Inc. (PEP) | Yield: 3.0%
PepsiCo, Inc. is a major international producer of branded beverage and snack food products.

AT&T, Inc. (T) | Yield: 6.1%
AT&T Inc. provides telephone and broadband service and holds full ownership of AT&T Mobility (formerly Cingular Wireless). AT&T Corp. was acquired in late 2005 and BellSouth in late 2006.

Now that the secret is out, what are you going to do? Will you continue to buy these evil stocks and build an independently secure future and allow our government and world economy to fail? As for me, I plan on spending the next couple of days digging my tongue out of my cheek and preparing for Friday’s holiday!

Full Disclosure: Long ABT, CINF, CL, COP, KMB, PEP, T. See a list of all my income holdings here.

(Photo Credit)

Don’t Touch These 5 Dividend Stocks! *

D4L — Wed, 23 Mar 2011 07:30:23 +0000

Has someone near and dear to you responded with a ‘I was only trying to help’ after royally messing something up? Have you ever tinkered with a computer, smart phone or something else only to learn it no longer works and you are not sure how to fix it? Our dividend stock investments can suffer the same fate if we provide them with too much of the wrong type of attention. Here are some things to remember to keep your income investments on the straight and narrow…

Avoid Irrelevant Information

I tire of hearing the stock reports that sound like a horse race, ‘After early mixed results, the Dow edged up two points today despite a government report indicating unemployment is running at two-tenths of a percent above previous estimates…’ Will any of this have meaning in 10 years? 5 years? 1 year? In a month or a week? If you tune in to the same program tomorrow, you will likely hear an equally irrelevant, and possibly contrary, rant. Successful investing is a marathon, not a 40 yard dash.

Avoid Excess Trading

The investment community is geared toward trading. The media with their incessant play-by-play call of the market creates a sense of urgency. If the market is going up, you are made to feel like you are missing out on enormous gains, while market declines leave the investor feeling the need to sell before losing it all. The common thread here is the investor is being pushed to trade. Excessive buying and selling will at best mute a portfolio’s return and at worse, will deplete it.

Buy And Hold

Its ironic that buy-and-hold (through dividend and value investing) is seeing a resurgence, while concurrently being attacked on many fronts as being dead and no longer valid. Some attacks are a result of ignorance on the part of those not fully understanding the concept. Buy-and-hold is not buy-and-forget. All investment strategies should have a well-defined exit plan. Making a quick buck is not part of the exit strategy of long-term buy-and-hold dividend and value investors. Instead, it is our desire to hold the stock forever, assuming the stock continues to meet out investing criteria. When the stock no longer performs as anticipated, such as cutting its dividend, it is immediately sold.

Dividend Stocks Worth Waiting On

If our investment horizon is forever, we must do our due diligence up front and select only the very best stocks. Below are several stocks that have earned the patience of many dividend growth investors:

Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) | Yield: 3.7%
Johnson & Johnson is a leader in the pharmaceutical, medical device and consumer products industries. JNJ is a member of the S&P 500, a Dividend Aristocrat and a member of the Broad Dividend Achievers™ Index and a Dividend Champion. The company has paid a cash dividend to shareholders every year since 1944 and has increased its dividend payments for 49 consecutive years.

McDonald’s Corp. (MCD) | Yield: 3.2%
McDonald’s Corporation is the largest fast-food restaurant company in the world, with about 32,500 restaurants in 117 countries. MCD is a member of the S&P 500, a Dividend Aristocrat and a member of the Broad Dividend Achievers™ Index and a Dividend Champion. The company has paid a cash dividend to shareholders every year since 1976 and has increased its dividend payments for 35 consecutive years.

The Coca-Cola Company (KO) | Yield: 2.9%
The Coca-Cola Company is the world’s largest soft drink company, KO also has a sizable fruit juice business. KO is a member of the S&P 500, a Dividend Aristocrat and a member of the Broad Dividend Achievers™ Index and a Dividend Champion. The company has paid a cash dividend to shareholders every year since 1893 and has increased its dividend payments for 48 consecutive years.

Procter & Gamble Co. (PG) | Yield: 3.1%
The Procter & Gamble Company is a leading consumer products company that markets household and personal care products in more than 180 countries. PG is a member of the S&P 500, a Dividend Aristocrat and a member of the Broad Dividend Achievers™ Index and a Dividend Champion. The company has paid a cash dividend to shareholders every year since 1891 and has increased its dividend payments for 54 consecutive years.

Wal-Mart Stores Inc. (WMT) | Yield: 2.8%
Wal-Mart Stores, Inc. is the largest retailer in North America, WMT operates a chain of discount department stores, wholesale clubs, and combination discount stores and supermarkets. WMT is a member of the S&P 500, a Dividend Aristocrat and a member of the Broad Dividend Achievers™ Index and a Dividend Champion. The company has paid a cash dividend to shareholders every year since 1973 and has increased its dividend payments for 36 consecutive years.

Conclusion

We live in an action-oriented world. In a microwave society that provides us instant everything, we look for immediate feedback for our actions. Sometimes it is hard to abide by the old adage ‘if it’s not broke, don’t fix it’, but when it comes to our dividend growth investments, we need to allow time to work its wonders on our portfolio.

Full Disclosure: Long JNJ, MCD, KO, PG, WMT. See a list of all my income holdings here.

(Photo Credit)

3 Dividend Stocks That I Will NEVER Lose Money On *

D4L — Wed, 16 Mar 2011 07:30:20 +0000

Wouldn’t it be nice to buy stocks that only had upside. While we are wishing why don’t we add in predictable earnings, predictable dividends and, of coarse, we don’t want to pay a premium for this investment. Does this sound unrealistic? Possibly, at face value, but there is a way to accomplish this. It won’t happen overnight, but it can be done. Here is how I have been able to do it…

Start With Quality Stocks

Just as ‘better ingredients make a better pizza’, higher quality stocks provide more predictable dividends and an increased chance of becoming one of these Golden Stocks. As with any income investment, I look for stocks that have consistently increased their dividends for many consecutive years and operate in businesses that do well over all parts of the economic cycle.

Add In A Generous Portion Of Time

This is not an overnight process. Most good things are worth waiting for. If you are to establish a long-term relationship with a stock, it better be a quality stock. Time is a powerful force, with it we can overcome poor choices, poor timing and bad decisions. Without it, we immediately are forced to pay for our indiscretions.

Strategic Selection Of Entry And Exit Points

Just typing the above made the hair on the back of my neck stand up — It sounds too much like market timing, for which I have no use for. However, all successful strategies have an element in them that encourages investors to buy low and sell high. Consider how asset allocation works. When one sector experiences a decline, the investor will buy that sector to keep his or her allocation in balance. Later when it rises, the investor may be forced to sell to rebalance their allocation. In much the same way, I tend to smile a lot when the market is crashing-and-burning. It is at these times when truly great stocks are being traded and rock-bottom prices. As we will see, these purchases are more quickly turned into Golden Stocks.

Three Golden Stocks

So what exactly is a Golden Stock? The concept did not originate with me, and others have different names for it, including ‘zero-basis stock.’ I don’t care for that name since, in reality it is nearly impossible to hold a stock with zero basis (at least the way the IRS calculates basis). A Golden Stock is one in which I have fully recovered my entire investment either through dividends or from partial liquidation or a combination of both. In my income portfolio, I am currently holding these 3 Golden Stocks:

3M Company (MMM) | YOC: 4.4% | Yield: 2.3%
This stock was originally purchased in March 2009 when the market was at its low. In October 2010, I sold 50% of my shares. Proceeds from that sale, along with dividends received, account for 101.1% of my original investment.

Emerson Electric Co. (EMR) | YOC: 3.5% | Yield: 2.3%
My EMR holdings were purchased in July 2009 and October 2009. The July purchase was at $31.64 while the October purchase was at $39.59. In February 2011, I sold 55% of my shares. Proceeds from that sale, along with dividends received, account for 100.4% of my original investment.

Integrys Energy Group, Inc. (TEG) | YOC: 7.3% | Yield: 5.4%
TEG is different from the first two stocks in that its quarterly dividend has been frozen at $0.62/share since March 2009. I purchased one block in November 2008 at $43.81 and a second block in February 2009 at $36.83. In March 2011, I sold 67% of my shares. Proceeds from that sale, along with dividends received, account for 102.7% of my original investment.

More Golden Stocks On The Way

In addition to the above, several of my other income holdings are well on their way to becoming Golden Stocks. These include:

The Coca-Cola Company (KO) | YOC: 3.8% | Yield: 2.7%
This stock is in most every dividend growth investors portfolio. I have currently recovered through sales and dividends 21.2% of my initial investment.

Realty Income Corp. (O) | YOC: 6.9% | Yield: 5.0%
This stock is hold-over from my yield chasing days. When I started investing the right way, I held on to a handful of the better high-yield dividend stocks. I have currently recovered through sales and dividends 26.8% of my initial investment.

Consolidated Edison, Inc. (ED) | YOC: 5.5% | Yield: 4.7%
I have held a position in this stock since January 2005. Though its dividend increases have been rather modest, they have been consistent. I have currently recovered through sales and dividends 43.8% of my initial investment.

Commercial Net Lease Realty, Inc. (NNN) | YOC: 7.9% | Yield: 5.9%
This stock is another hold-over from my yield chasing days. In May 2009, I sold 51% of my shares after NNN failed to raise its dividend. However, it later raised its dividend in August 2010 to keep its streak of annual dividend increases alive. I have currently recovered through sales and dividends 68.6% of my initial investment.

Health Care Property Investors Inc. (HCP) | YOC: 6.0% | Yield: 5.0%
Yet another hold-over from my yield chasing days. I have held a position in this stock since March 2005. On paper, I should have sold this stock a long time ago, but it has continued to appreciate and to raise its dividend. It will likely be my next Golden Stock. I have currently recovered through sales and dividends 81.2% of my initial investment.

Conclusion

Needless to say, the statement that I will NEVER lose money on my 3 Golden Stocks is predicated on not purchasing any additional shares, which may or may not be the case. These stocks have already paid for themselves once, and given the right circumstances, I would be willing to let them do it again. Dividend growth stocks are truly stocks that pay you to own them.

Full Disclosure: Long MMM, EMR, TEG, KO, O, ED, NNN, HCP. See a list of all my income holdings here.

(Photo Credit)

List of 195 Dividend Stocks Every Income Investor Should Know About *

D4L — Wed, 09 Mar 2011 07:30:16 +0000

In 2009, I introduced the Stock Ideas list and it has proven to be immensely popular. The list consists of Dividend Aristocrats, US Broad Dividend Achievers and U.S. Dividend Champions. Duplications in the above lists are eliminated and stocks are crossed out when I learn that they have either cut their dividend or fail to raise it. Here is some information on each of the constituent lists and some highlights on this year’s changes:

Dividend Aristocrats: Companies in the S&P 500 that have followed a policy of consistently increasing dividends every year for at least 25 consecutive years. As the name denotes, these are the best of the best – the blue blood stocks, including names like:

US Broad Dividend Achievers: Is comprised of companies incorporated in the United States or its territories, trade on the NYSE, NASDAQ or AMEX, and have increased their annual regular dividend payments for the last ten or more consecutive years. Notable names on this list include:

The U.S. Dividend Champions: Is maintained by Dave Fish of MoneyPaper. The list is updated monthly and located at the The Drip Investing Resource Center. Like the Dividend Aristocrats above the Dividend Champions list looks for companies that have increased their dividend for at least 25 consecutive years. However, since S&P 500 membership is not a requirement, the list is larger than the Dividend Aristocrats list and also includes small-cap companies.

- Bowl America (BWL.A) | Yield: 5.0%
- Conn. Water Service (CTWS) | Yield: 3.8%
- Weyco Group Inc. (WEYS) | Yield: 2.6%

Membership in the Stock Ideas list declined in this edition, but it was significantly less than what was experience in the prior year. Overall the number of constituents fell to 198 in the 2011 Stock Ideas list from 218 stocks in the 2010 list. There were 319 stocks in 2009. There were 28 companies that fell off the list, including these prominent stocks:

- Eli Lilly & Co. (LLY)
- Paychex Inc. (PAYX)
- Progress Energy Inc. (PGN)
- SUPERVALU Inc. (SVU)
- Integrys Energy Group, Inc. (TEG)

The news wasn’t all bad. Partially offsetting the 28 companies that fell off the list were 5 new companies joining the Dividend Stock Ideas List. Some of these aren’t household names, not yet at least, but here are some names we will likely be seeing in the future:

You can see the entire Dividend Stock Idea List here. Remember, not every stock listed here is a great dividend investment, but virtually all great dividend investments are on this list.

Full Disclosure: Long ABT, KO, JNJ, MCD, MMM, PG, WMT, CVX, NUE, LLY, TEG. See a list of all my income holdings here.

(Photo Credit)

These 11 Dividend Stocks Could Make You Wealthy *

D4L — Wed, 02 Mar 2011 07:30:03 +0000

It seems the older I get the more I fight with my weight. I know how to lose weight – I have done it several times. The formula is not difficult, eat less and exercise more. My problem, like many others, is in the implementation. In much the same way, the formula to building wealth is rather simple – spend less than you earn and invest the difference. Once again implementation is where many people come up short. With the right focus and some positive feedback, building wealth can be much easier than shedding the spare tire around your mid-section. Here’s how to do it…

Fad Diets and Fad Investing Plans Rarely Work

Forget about those ‘Make 534% On Every Trade’ ads that you see on many financial websites. Real wealth is built with sweat equity and a sound financial plan. The only people making money off fad investments are the people selling them. To understand what will and will not work in the future you must understand the concepts that have worked in the past. Granted, each success story is different, but there are common traits as Philip E. Humbert noted when he studied successful people and came up with the “Top 10 Traits of Highly Successful People.” Here are 3 traits that we can apply to our investments:

1. Highly successful people work hard

They get up early, rarely complain. They expect high performance from others, but they expect extraordinary performance from themselves. Success starts with a recognition that hard work pays off. Highly successful investors don’t waste time trying to find an quick and easy way to get rich in the stock market.

2. Highly successful people are self-reliant and take responsibility

How many times have you heard, ‘I am fat because of my genes, my thyroid, my wife, my husband, …’ Or how many times have you heard, ‘I am broke because, I don’t make enough (my boss’ fault), things are so expensive (companies’ fault), Social Security will fund for my retirement, …’

3. Highly successful people “look over the horizon” to see the future

We live in a society of instant gratification. There is no planning for the future and certainly no foresight what the future will bring. A successful retirement just doesn’t happen – it is build with a plan over many decades.

Dividend Stocks To Help Grow Your Wealth

A long-term buy-and-hold investing approach focusing on quality dividend growth stocks has has provided the means for many investors to enjoy a comfortable retirement. If you start early enough, you will go beyond a comfortable retirement into the realm of building long-term wealth. For starters, you might consider these dividend stocks that have been rewarding their investors with growing dividends for 40 or more consecutive years:

Sysco Corporation (SYY) | Growth Yrs: 40 | Yield: 3.7%
Sysco Corporation is a large distributor of food and related products, primarily to the food-service or food-away-from-home industry.

Black Hills Corporation (BKH) | Growth Yrs: 40 | Yield: 4.7%
Black Hills Corp. is a South Dakota-based holding company that encompasses electric utility and integrated energy businesses.

California WaterService Group (CWT) | Growth Yrs: 43 | Yield: 3.4%
California Water Service Group operates regulated water utilities in California, Washington, New Mexico and Hawaii, and provides other non-regulated services.

Hormel Foods Corp. (HRL) | Growth Yrs: 45 | Yield: 1.9%
Hormel Foods Corp. company is a leading processor of branded, convenience meat products (primarily pork) for the consumer market.

Colgate-Palmolive (CL) | Growth Yrs: 47 | Yield: 2.6%
Colgate-Palmolive Company (Colgate) is a major consumer products company that markets oral, personal and household care, and pet nutrition products in more than 200 countries and territories.

Coca-Cola Company (KO) | Growth Yrs: 48 | Yield: 2.7%
The Coca-Cola Company is the world’s largest soft drink company, KO also has a sizable fruit juice business.

Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) | Growth Yrs: 48 | Yield: 3.5%
Johnson & Johnson is a leader in the pharmaceutical, medical device and consumer products industries.

Cincinnati Financial (CINF) | Growth Yrs: 50 | Yield: 4.7%
Cincinnati Financial Corp. markets primarily property and casualty coverage. It also conducts life insurance and asset management operations.

3M Company (MMM) | Growth Yrs: 52 | Yield: 2.3%
3M Co. provides enhanced product functionality in electronics, health care, industrial, consumer, office, telecommunications, safety & security and other markets via coatings, sealants, adhesives, and other chemical additives.

Procter & Gamble (PG) | Growth Yrs: 54 | Yield: 3.1%
The Procter & Gamble Company is a leading consumer products company that markets household and personal care products in more than 180 countries.

Emerson Electric Co. (EMR) | Growth Yrs: 55 | Yield: 2.3%
Emerson Electric Co. designs and supplies product technology, and delivers engineering services and solutions to a wide range of industrial, commercial, and consumer markets around the world.

Conclusion

If losing weight and building wealth were easy, there wouldn’t be people wanting to sell you the secret. Notice there aren’t any seminars on how to yawn (though several accounting seminars have caused me to do it.) The first step toward success is deciding to take responsibility for our future. With a little planning, effort and the right dividend growth stocks, we can be well on our way to creating long-term wealth.

Full Disclosure: Long SYY, CL, KO, JNJ, CINF, MMM, PG, EMR. See a list of all my income holdings here.

(Photo Credit)

13 Dividend Stocks Headed In The Right Direction *

D4L — Wed, 23 Feb 2011 07:30:59 +0000

A photograph captures a moment in time. Seconds after the flash dims a tree could have fallen on the object of the photo or the sad looking man in the photo could have been told he just won a million dollars. In much the same way a dividend stock analysis is a snapshot in time, but the real question for the savvy dividend investor is ‘where is the stock headed?’ Here are four important directional metrics that I look for when updating my stock database…

1. Declining Shares

Many companies sell stock to raise cash. The important question is what is the company going to do with the cash? Is it for an acquisition or “general corporate purposes?” The latter is code for the business is not generating enough cash to stay afloat on its own. I am wary of a company that consistently has more shares outstanding in the current year when compared to the prior year. As I enter updates to my database, equal or lower shares outstanding is a sign of a healthy business.

2. Declining Debt

When companies need to raise cash and selling shares is not a good option, they often will issue debt. Once again, the important question is what is the company going to do with the cash? Like issuing shares, debt for a strategic acquisition is much more palatable than for “general corporate purposes.” I am wary of a company that consistently has more debt outstanding than the year before. As I enter updates to my database, I make note of companies with a declining debt balance and see that as a sign of a healthy business.

3. Rising Equity

Changes in shareholder’s equity are a result of earnings, dividends paid, treasury stock purchased, stock options exercised and stock issued. If shares outstanding aren’t increasing, and equity is rising then the business is generating sufficient earnings to cover dividends and share repurchases. Increasing the value of the company by running the business well is a sign of a healthy company.

4. Rising Free Cash Flow/Share

Ultimately, we want our investments to generate more free cash flow so they can pay us higher dividends. Free cash flow is an important metric in that it excludes cash generated from issuing stock or issuing debt or selling off parts of the business. Free cash flow is limited to only the cash generated from running the business.

Dividend Stocks Headed In The Right Direction

Combining the equity and debt metrics, I looked for companies with a declining Debt to Total Capital ratio, and combining the free cash flow and shares outstanding metrics, I looked for a rising free cash flow per share. Below are several companies I noted that exhibited each of the above characteristics:

Automatic Data Processing Inc. (ADP) is one of the world’s largest independent computing services companies, providing a broad range of data processing services.
Debt to Total Capital | 2005: 1%, TTM: 1%
Free Cash Flow/Share | 2005: $2.10, TTM: $3.06
Yield: 2.84%

Cullen/Frost Bankers, Inc. (CFR) is one of the largest multi-bank holding company headquartered in Texas, has more than 110 offices in various cities in the state.
Debt to Total Capital | 2005: 30%, TTM: 15%
Free Cash Flow/Share | 2005: $2.13, TTM: $5.23
Yield: 2.98%

Erie Indemnity Co. (ERIE) provides sales, underwriting, and policy issuance services to the policyholders of Erie Insurance Exchange in the United States.
Debt to Total Capital | 2005: 0%, TTM: 0%
Free Cash Flow/Share | 2005: $4.33, TTM: $6.93
Yield: 2.77%

Genuine Parts Co. (GPC) is a leading wholesale distributor of automotive replacement parts, industrial parts and supplies, and office products.
Debt to Total Capital | 2005: 16%, TTM: 15%
Free Cash Flow/Share | 2005: $2.03, TTM: $3.57
Yield: 2.97%

The Procter & Gamble Company (PG) is a leading consumer products company that markets household and personal care products in more than 180 countries.
Debt to Total Capital | 2005: 38%, TTM: 33%
Free Cash Flow/Share | 2005: $2.65, TTM: $3.46
Yield: 3.00%

RPM International Inc. (RPM) makes specialty coatings and products for the structural waterproofing and corrosion control markets, as well as products for the consumer, do-it-yourself, and hobby markets.
Debt to Total Capital | 2005: 44%, TTM: 43%
Free Cash Flow/Share | 2005: $0.81, TTM: $1.34
Yield: 3.47%

J.M. Smucker Co.’s (SJM) products include coffee, fruit spreads, peanut butter, shortening and oils, ice cream toppings, health and natural foods, and beverages. The Folgers coffee business was acquired in November 2008.
Debt to Total Capital | 2005: 21%, TTM: 19%
Free Cash Flow/Share | 2005: $1.84, TTM: $3.69
Yield: 2.61%

Sonoco Products Co. (SON) makes paper and plastic packaging products serves various industries and markets in more than 85 countries.
Debt to Total Capital | 2005: 38%, TTM: 29%
Free Cash Flow/Share | 2005: $0.98, TTM: $1.68
Yield: 3.10%

Suburban Propane Partners LP (SPH) is a limited partnership that markets propane gas and other refined fuels to residential, commercial, industrial, and agricultural customers.
Debt to Total Capital | 2005: 88%, TTM: 44%
Free Cash Flow/Share | 2005: $0.33, TTM: $3.67
Yield: 5.88%

AT&T Inc. (T) provides telephone and broadband service and holds full ownership of AT&T Mobility (formerly Cingular Wireless). AT&T Corp. was acquired in late 2005 and BellSouth in late 2006.
Debt to Total Capital | 2005: 42%, TTM: 39%
Free Cash Flow/Share | 2005: $2.10, TTM: $2.50
Yield: 5.88%

V.F. Corp. (VFC) is a global apparel company, with leading shares in denim and daypacks. It is transforming itself into a designer and marketer of lifestyle apparel brands.
Debt to Total Capital | 2005: 22%, TTM: 20%
Free Cash Flow/Share | 2005: $4.11, TTM: $9.46
Yield: 2.71%

Verizon Communications Inc. (VZ) offers wireline, wireless and broadband services primarily in the northeastern United States. It acquired MCI Inc in 2006 and has since sold or spun off non-core assets. Alltel was acquired in early 2009.
Debt to Total Capital | 2005: 50%, TTM: 39%
Free Cash Flow/Share | 2005: $2.37, TTM: $6.07
Yield: 5.22%

Businesses can pay dividends with cash generated from many sources. They can generate cash by issuing shares, which dilutes our ownership. They can generate cash by issuing debt, which burdens the company with interest payments. Or, they can generate cash by running the business well, which neither dilutes the current shareholders’ interest or burdens them with future cash payments. Which would you rather have?

Full Disclosure: Long ADP, GPC, OMI, PG, T. See a list of all my income holdings here.

(Photo Credit)

12 Industrial Strength Dividend Stocks *

D4L — Wed, 16 Feb 2011 07:30:13 +0000

This is the third installment in a multi-part series that looks at different sectors that have traditionally been very friendly to dividend investors. Each of these sectors have attributes that make the companies in them potentially desirable to long-term buy-and-hold dividend growth investors. Understanding these attributes will hopefully help us to select the very best companies for our income portfolios. Last week we looked at Financial Services Sector. This week we are looking at Industrial Materials…

Industrial Materials Attributes

The Industrial Materials Sector consists of companies that manufacture products or otherwise harvest a product, such as a mining company. The products are most often inputs or raw materials into another manufacturing process, such as steel producer. Many of these companies are often referred to as members of the “smokestack industry” and are classified as cyclical stocks – a stock that rises and falls in step with the economy.

Timing is important when buying an industrial stock. If you buy when business is booming you will likely pay too much, which means a very low yield. Most stocks in this sector are currently overpriced. The average yield on Industrial Sector stocks that I follow is only 1.7%. This includes only 3 stocks yielding in the 3% range., with all the others sub-3%. Several of these sub-3% companies were yielding in excess of 4% in 2008 when the world looked bleak for Industrial stocks.

Industrial Materials Companies

Below are several leading Industrial Materials companies that I follow. The companies selected have a dividend yield of 2.00%, or higher, and have raised their dividends for at least 15 years.

RPM International Inc. (RPM)
Yield: 3.5% | Growth:2.5 % | Years: 38
RPM International Inc. makes specialty coatings and products for the structural waterproofing and corrosion control markets, as well as products for the consumer, do-it-yourself, and hobby markets.

MDU Resources Group Inc. (MDU)
Yield: 3.0% | Growth: 1.9% | Years: 20
MDU Resources Group Inc. is involved in electric and natural gas distribution, natural gas storage, gathering and transmission, construction materials and mining, and oil and natural gas production.

Nucor Corporation (NUE)
Yield: 3.0% | Growth: 0.8% | Years: 37
Nucor Corporation is the largest minimill steelmaker in the U.S., Nucor has one of the most diverse product lines of any steelmaker in the Americas.

PPG Industries, Inc. (PPG)
Yield: 2.5% | Growth: 1.9% | Years: 37
PPG is a leading manufacturer of coatings and resins, flat and fiber glass, and industrial and specialty chemicals.

Illinois Tool Works Inc. (ITW)
Yield: 2.3% | Growth: 4.8% | Years: 47
Illinois Tool Works Inc. is a diversified manufacturer that operates a portfolio of about 840 industrial and consumer businesses throughout the world.

3M Company (MMM)
Yield: 2.3% | Growth: 2.5% | Years: 52
3M Co. provides enhanced product functionality in electronics, health care, industrial, consumer, office, telecommunications, safety & security and other markets via coatings, sealants, adhesives, and other chemical additives.

Harsco Corporation (HSC)
Yield: 2.3% | Growth: 1.9% | Years: 20
Harsco Corp. is a global industrial service provider and manufacturer has operations in steel mill services and access services, as well as construction.

Emerson Electric Co. (EMR)
Yield: 2.2% | Growth: 2.2% | Years: 55
Emerson Electric Co. designs and supplies product technology, and delivers engineering services and solutions to a wide range of industrial, commercial, and consumer markets around the world.

Air Products And Chemicals Inc. (APD)
Yield: 2.2% | Growth: 2.1% | Years: 29
Air Products and Chemicals Inc. is a major producer of industrial gases and electronics and specialty chemicals and also has interests in environmental and energy-related businesses.

General Dynamics (GD)
Yield: 2.1% | Growth: 10.1% | Years: 19
General Dynamics is the world’s fifth largest military contractor and also one of the world’s biggest makers of corporate jets.

United Technologies Corp. (UTX)
Yield: 2.0% | Growth: 10.4% | Years: 18
United Technologies Corp. portfolio includes Pratt & Whitney jet engines, Sikorsky helicopters, Otis elevators and Carrier air conditioners, among other products.

Pentair, Inc. (PNR)
Yield: 2.0% | Growth: 5.6% | Years: 34
Pentair Inc. makes and markets water and fluid control devices, and electrical and electronic enclosures.

Conclusion

The Industrial Materials Sector is the largest sector in my database of dividend stocks. Of the 198 stocks that I track, it currently is represented by 34 stocks (17%). As noted above, this is not a sector I am in a position to buy often, but when the time is right, I plan on taking full advantage of the opportunity. Two of my largest annualized returns (IRR) come from industrial stocks: 3M (MMM) at 46.5% and Emerson Electric Co. (EMR) at 49.7%. I wouldn’t buy them at their current valuation, but based on where they were when I purchased them, I am enjoying a healthy yield-on-cost.

Full Disclosure: Long NUE, ITW, MMM, EMR, GD, UTX. See a list of all my income holdings here.

(Photo Credit)

10 Financial Services Dividend Stocks To Boost Your Yield *

D4L — Wed, 09 Feb 2011 07:30:43 +0000

This is the second installment in a multi-part series that looks at different sectors that have traditionally been very friendly to dividend investors. Each of these sectors have attributes that make the companies in them potentially desirable to long-term buy-and-hold dividend growth investors. Understanding these attributes will hopefully help us to select the very best companies for our income portfolios. Last week we looked at Consumer Goods Sector. This week we are looking at Financial Services…

Financial Services Attributes

The Financial Services Sector includes insurance companies, banks, brokerages, mutual fund companies, and other similar companies. Before the 2008-09 financial meltdown, financial services stocks were the cornerstone on many dividend income portfolios. They offered relatively high yields and good dividend growth rates, for the perceived small risk of the stock. Unfortunately, things are not always as they seem. Under the surface banks were making questionable loans , while investment firms were creating and peddling exotic financial instruments. In effect, their CEO’s were building a house of cards in a hurricane – it was destined to fail, and it did.

This should be a warning when investing in the Financial Services Sector – not a stop sign. Many of these companies are in very lucrative positions. With interest rates as low as they are, banks are enjoying decent spreads, not to mention all the new fees they are dreaming-up to charge their customers. With the advent of electronic banking, we have so much tied to our accounts. The pain threshold of changing banks is high, and they know it.

Have you ever filed an insurance claim and were satisfied with the outcome? I have not spoke with many people that have. Recently, a hail storm hit my neighborhood causing damage to several roofs, including mine. My insurance company (a name that everyone would know if I mentioned it) paid less than 10% of the damage I incurred – then raised my rates. They will recoup their payment to me in about 20 months. What a business model! You can complain about it, or invest in the industry and profit from it. I’ve chosen the latter.

Financial Services Companies

Below are several leading Consumer Goods companies that I follow. The companies selected have a dividend yield in excess of 2.25% and have raised their dividends for at least 10 years.

People’s United Financial Inc. (PBCT) | Yield: 5.9% | Growth: 11.3% | Years: 13
People’s United Financial Inc. provides a full range of banking and financial service products to individuals, corporations and municipal customers in the U.S. Northeast.

Old Republic International (ORI) | Yield: 5.7% | Growth: 15.0% | Years: 29
Old Republic Intl writes property and liability, mortgage guaranty, title and life, and disability insurance.

Mercury General Corp. (MCY) | Yield: 5.5% | Growth: 1.1% | Years: 23
Mercury General Corp. is an insurance holding company, operating primarily in California, writes a full line of automobile coverage for all classifications of risk.

Hudson City Bancorp Inc. (HCBK) | Yield: 5.4% | Growth: 1.7% | Years: 10
Hudson City Bancorp Inc. operates over 100 branches in the New York metropolitan area. It caters to high median household income counties and focuses on jumbo mortgage loan funding, largely through time deposits.

Cincinnati Financial Corp. (CINF) | Yield: 4.8% | Growth: 1.0% | Years: 50
Cincinnati Financial Corp. markets primarily property and casualty coverage. It also conducts life insurance and asset management operations.

Arrow Financial Corp. (AROW) | Yield: 4.2% | Growth: 2.2% | Years: 17
Arrow Financial owns Glens Falls National Bank & Trust Company and Saratoga National Bank & Trust Company, which offer commercial and consumer banking and financial products in U.S.

Community Trust Bank Corp. (CTBI) | Yield: 4.2% | Growth: 0.8% | Years: 30
Community Trust Bank Corp. owns and operates Community Trust Bank, Inc. of Pikeville, KY, which provides commercial banking services in Kentucky and West Virginia; and a trust company.

Harleysville Group Inc. (HGIC) | Yield: 3.8% | Growth: 8.0% | Years: 24
Harleysville Group Inc. underwrites a broad array of personal and commercial coverages. These insurance coverages are marketed primarily in the Eastern and Midwestern United States.

First Financial Corp. (THFF) | Yield: 2.9% | Growth: 1.1% | Years: 22
First Financial Corporation provides various financial services from 48 branch offices in west-central Indiana and east-central Illinois (Dec. 31, 2008).

Chubb Corporation (CB) | Yield: 2.5% | Growth: 5.7% | Years: 46
Chubb Corporation is one of the largest U.S. property-casualty insurers, Chubb has carved out a number of niches, including high-end personal lines and specialty liability lines coverage.

Conclusion

The Financial Services sector is the second largest sector in my database of dividend stocks. Of the 198 stocks that I track, it currently is represented by 33 stocks (17%). This is a sector many dividend growth investors are hesitant to own. The perceived higher risk brings higher yields and with potential growth to the income investor. Even after the melt-down, many income and value portfolios continue to be over-weighted in Financial Services, including Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A) at 41%. As for my portfolio, I will continue to enjoy what the Financial Services Sector brings to the table, but I will limit my exposure to no more than 10%.

Full Disclosure: Long CINF, HGIC. See a list of all my income holdings here.