Dividend Stocks Empowers People

By starting early in life and building a portfolio of dividend growth stocks, people are empowering themselves and taking charge of their future. At first blush, this may not sound like a bad thing but consider the consequences. Lord Acton saw the problem more than a century ago when he stated “All power tends to corrupt; absolute power corrupts absolutely.” Power is meant for the government, not people. The government has a much more experience with corruption than individuals.

Dividend Stocks Weakens The Need For Government

Power is like mass, it can not be created or destroyed. Any gains in power in one area must be offset by a loss in another. When people make wise financial decisions and are empowered with a secure and independent future, this power must come from somewhere, and in this case it is to the detriment of our beloved government. The foundation of our modern government is a needy society beholden to its benevolent hand. If the masses aren’t relying on the government to sustain their meager existence in retirement, how can we continue to justify our current behemoth governmental infrastructure and expenditures. And even worse, a shift of power to the people could go to their heads and eventually lead to them demanding accountability from their elected officials. This is sacrilege!

Dividend Stocks Will Destroy The World Economy

If individuals start making wise financial decisions and investing in dividend stocks instead of buying “stuff” produced around the world. The world economy could collapse. Imagine what would happen if we stopped buying plastic stuff made in China – their government would not be able to fund all their military endeavors. This would leave them open to another student up rising in Tiananmen Square, and this time the government may not be able to silence the people.

7 Dividend Stocks To Bring Down Financial System

The financial system does not like radical change. Responsible behavior and fewer imports could lead to lead to smaller government and less debt. Less debt would keep interest rates low as buyers bid up the price of the remaining debt. Perpetually low interest rates would stimulate the economy and cause stress on the financial institutions as they tried in vain to keep up with a robust economy.

You’ve been warned. You will set in motion a cataclysmic chain of events if act responsibly and buy good dividend stocks such as these:

Abbott Laboratories (ABT) | Yield: 4.0%
Abbott Laboratories is a diversified life science company and is a leading maker of drugs, nutritional products, diabetes monitoring devices, and diagnostics.

Cincinnati Financial Corp. (CINF) | Yield: 4.9%
Cincinnati Financial Corp. markets primarily property and casualty coverage. It also conducts life insurance and asset management operations.

Colgate-Palmolive Co. (CL) | Yield: 3.0%
Colgate-Palmolive Company (Colgate) is a major consumer products company that markets oral, personal and household care, and pet nutrition products in more than 200 countries and territories.

ConocoPhillips (COP) | Yield: 3.5%
ConocoPhillips Co. is the fourth largest integrated oil company in the world, and the second largest in the U.S.

Kimberly-Clark Corporation (KMB) | Yield: 4.3%
Kimberly Clark Corp. is a global consumer products company that produces tissue, personal care and health care. Its brands include Huggies, Pull-Ups, Kotex, Depend, Kleenex, Scott and Kimberly-Clark.

Pepsico, Inc. (PEP) | Yield: 3.0%
PepsiCo, Inc. is a major international producer of branded beverage and snack food products.

AT&T, Inc. (T) | Yield: 6.1%
AT&T Inc. provides telephone and broadband service and holds full ownership of AT&T Mobility (formerly Cingular Wireless). AT&T Corp. was acquired in late 2005 and BellSouth in late 2006.

Now that the secret is out, what are you going to do? Will you continue to buy these evil stocks and build an independently secure future and allow our government and world economy to fail? As for me, I plan on spending the next couple of days digging my tongue out of my cheek and preparing for Friday’s holiday!

Full Disclosure: Long ABT, CINF, CL, COP, KMB, PEP, T. See a list of all my income holdings here.

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(Photo Credit)

Dividends Received

Total dividends received during the month were $350.13, consisting of:

• $96.32 AT&T, Inc. (T)
• $42.40 Cincinnati Financial Corp. (CINF)
• $ 9.43 Nucor Corporation (NUE)
• $54.56 Abbott Laboratories (ABT)
• $33.92 Colgate-Palmolive Co. (CL)
• $36.65 Procter & Gamble Co. (PG)
• $76.85 CenturyLink, Inc. (CTL)

Securities Purchased

The following securities were purchased during the month:

• 32 Shares Cincinnati Financial Corp. (CINF) providing $51.20 in annual dividend income
• 106 Shares CenturyLink, Inc. (CTL) providing $307.40 in annual dividend income

Annualized Dividend Income

Including the above purchases, my annual PCP dividend income is now $3,714.41 at the current dividend rates. This is up $367.82 from last month’s $3,346.59 amount. The PCP has never experienced a monthly decline in annualized dividend income.

Portfolio Returns

• Month: 1.53%
• Year-to-date: 0.83%
• Life-to-date: 14.85% (annualized)

My PCP holdings are always available by selecting the Holdings option from the menu in the header. The next PCP update will be mid-April.

Full Disclosure: Long all the aforementioned securities. See a list of all my income holdings here.

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(Photo: Arcelia Vanasse)

Fad Diets and Fad Investing Plans Rarely Work

Forget about those ‘Make 534% On Every Trade’ ads that you see on many financial websites. Real wealth is built with sweat equity and a sound financial plan. The only people making money off fad investments are the people selling them. To understand what will and will not work in the future you must understand the concepts that have worked in the past. Granted, each success story is different, but there are common traits as Philip E. Humbert noted when he studied successful people and came up with the “Top 10 Traits of Highly Successful People.” Here are 3 traits that we can apply to our investments:

1. Highly successful people work hard

They get up early, rarely complain. They expect high performance from others, but they expect extraordinary performance from themselves. Success starts with a recognition that hard work pays off. Highly successful investors don’t waste time trying to find an quick and easy way to get rich in the stock market.

2. Highly successful people are self-reliant and take responsibility

How many times have you heard, ‘I am fat because of my genes, my thyroid, my wife, my husband, …’ Or how many times have you heard, ‘I am broke because, I don’t make enough (my boss’ fault), things are so expensive (companies’ fault), Social Security will fund for my retirement, …’

3. Highly successful people “look over the horizon” to see the future

We live in a society of instant gratification. There is no planning for the future and certainly no foresight what the future will bring. A successful retirement just doesn’t happen – it is build with a plan over many decades.

Dividend Stocks To Help Grow Your Wealth

A long-term buy-and-hold investing approach focusing on quality dividend growth stocks has has provided the means for many investors to enjoy a comfortable retirement. If you start early enough, you will go beyond a comfortable retirement into the realm of building long-term wealth. For starters, you might consider these dividend stocks that have been rewarding their investors with growing dividends for 40 or more consecutive years:

Sysco Corporation (SYY) | Growth Yrs: 40 | Yield: 3.7%
Sysco Corporation is a large distributor of food and related products, primarily to the food-service or food-away-from-home industry.

Black Hills Corporation (BKH) | Growth Yrs: 40 | Yield: 4.7%
Black Hills Corp. is a South Dakota-based holding company that encompasses electric utility and integrated energy businesses.

California WaterService Group (CWT) | Growth Yrs: 43 | Yield: 3.4%
California Water Service Group operates regulated water utilities in California, Washington, New Mexico and Hawaii, and provides other non-regulated services.

Hormel Foods Corp. (HRL) | Growth Yrs: 45 | Yield: 1.9%
Hormel Foods Corp. company is a leading processor of branded, convenience meat products (primarily pork) for the consumer market.

Colgate-Palmolive (CL) | Growth Yrs: 47 | Yield: 2.6%
Colgate-Palmolive Company (Colgate) is a major consumer products company that markets oral, personal and household care, and pet nutrition products in more than 200 countries and territories.

Coca-Cola Company (KO) | Growth Yrs: 48 | Yield: 2.7%
The Coca-Cola Company is the world’s largest soft drink company, KO also has a sizable fruit juice business.

Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) | Growth Yrs: 48 | Yield: 3.5%
Johnson & Johnson is a leader in the pharmaceutical, medical device and consumer products industries.

Cincinnati Financial (CINF) | Growth Yrs: 50 | Yield: 4.7%
Cincinnati Financial Corp. markets primarily property and casualty coverage. It also conducts life insurance and asset management operations.

3M Company (MMM) | Growth Yrs: 52 | Yield: 2.3%
3M Co. provides enhanced product functionality in electronics, health care, industrial, consumer, office, telecommunications, safety & security and other markets via coatings, sealants, adhesives, and other chemical additives.

Procter & Gamble (PG) | Growth Yrs: 54 | Yield: 3.1%
The Procter & Gamble Company is a leading consumer products company that markets household and personal care products in more than 180 countries.

Emerson Electric Co. (EMR) | Growth Yrs: 55 | Yield: 2.3%
Emerson Electric Co. designs and supplies product technology, and delivers engineering services and solutions to a wide range of industrial, commercial, and consumer markets around the world.

Conclusion

If  losing weight and building wealth were easy, there wouldn’t be people wanting to sell you the secret. Notice there aren’t any seminars on how to yawn (though several accounting seminars have caused me to do it.) The first step toward success is deciding to take responsibility for our future. With a little planning, effort and the right dividend growth stocks, we can be well on our way to creating long-term wealth.

Full Disclosure: Long SYY, CL, KO, JNJ, CINF, MMM, PG, EMR. See a list of all my income holdings here.

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(Photo Credit)

Financial Services Attributes

The Financial Services Sector includes insurance companies, banks, brokerages, mutual fund companies, and other similar companies. Before the 2008-09  financial meltdown, financial services stocks were the cornerstone on many dividend income portfolios. They offered relatively high yields and good dividend growth rates, for the perceived small risk of the stock. Unfortunately, things are not always as they seem. Under the surface banks were making questionable loans , while investment firms were creating and peddling exotic financial instruments. In effect, their CEO’s were building a house of cards in a hurricane – it was destined to fail, and it did.

This should be a warning when investing in the Financial Services Sector – not a stop sign. Many of these companies are in very lucrative positions. With interest rates as low as they are, banks are enjoying decent spreads, not to mention all the new fees they are dreaming-up to charge their customers.  With the advent of electronic banking, we have so much tied to our accounts. The pain threshold of changing banks is high, and they know it.

Have you ever filed an insurance claim and were satisfied with the outcome? I have not spoke with many people that have. Recently, a hail storm hit my neighborhood causing damage to several roofs, including mine. My insurance company (a name that everyone would know if I mentioned it) paid less than 10% of the damage I incurred – then raised my rates. They will recoup their payment to me in about 20 months. What a business model! You can complain about it, or invest in the industry and profit from it. I’ve chosen the latter.

Financial Services Companies

Below are several leading Consumer Goods companies that I follow. The companies selected have a dividend yield in excess of 2.25% and have raised their dividends for at least 10 years.

People’s United Financial Inc. (PBCT) | Yield: 5.9% | Growth: 11.3% | Years: 13
People’s United Financial Inc. provides a full range of banking and financial service products to individuals, corporations and municipal customers in the U.S. Northeast.

Old Republic International (ORI) | Yield: 5.7% | Growth: 15.0% | Years: 29
Old Republic Intl writes property and liability, mortgage guaranty, title and life, and disability insurance.

Mercury General Corp. (MCY) | Yield: 5.5% | Growth: 1.1% | Years: 23
Mercury General Corp. is an insurance holding company, operating primarily in California, writes a full line of automobile coverage for all classifications of risk.

Hudson City Bancorp Inc. (HCBK) | Yield: 5.4% | Growth: 1.7% | Years: 10
Hudson City Bancorp Inc. operates over 100 branches in the New York metropolitan area. It caters to high median household income counties and focuses on jumbo mortgage loan funding, largely through time deposits.

Cincinnati Financial Corp. (CINF) | Yield: 4.8% | Growth: 1.0% | Years: 50
Cincinnati Financial Corp. markets primarily property and casualty coverage. It also conducts life insurance and asset management operations.

Arrow Financial Corp. (AROW) | Yield: 4.2% | Growth: 2.2% | Years: 17
Arrow Financial owns Glens Falls National Bank & Trust Company and Saratoga National Bank & Trust Company, which offer commercial and consumer banking and financial products in U.S.

Community Trust Bank Corp. (CTBI) | Yield: 4.2% | Growth: 0.8% | Years: 30
Community Trust Bank Corp. owns and operates Community Trust Bank, Inc. of Pikeville, KY, which provides commercial banking services in Kentucky and West Virginia; and a trust company.

Harleysville Group Inc. (HGIC) | Yield: 3.8% | Growth: 8.0% | Years: 24
Harleysville Group Inc. underwrites a broad array of personal and commercial coverages. These insurance coverages are marketed primarily in the Eastern and Midwestern United States.

First Financial Corp. (THFF) | Yield: 2.9% | Growth: 1.1% | Years: 22
First Financial Corporation provides various financial services from 48 branch offices in west-central Indiana and east-central Illinois (Dec. 31, 2008).

Chubb Corporation (CB) | Yield: 2.5% | Growth: 5.7% | Years: 46
Chubb Corporation is one of the largest U.S. property-casualty insurers, Chubb has carved out a number of niches, including high-end personal lines and specialty liability lines coverage.

Conclusion

The Financial Services sector is the second largest sector in my database of dividend stocks. Of the 198 stocks that I track, it currently is represented by 33 stocks (17%). This is a sector many dividend growth investors are hesitant to own. The perceived higher risk brings higher yields and with potential growth to the income investor. Even after the melt-down, many income and value portfolios continue to be over-weighted in Financial Services, including Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A) at 41%. As for my portfolio, I will continue to enjoy what the Financial Services Sector brings to the table, but I will limit my exposure to no more than 10%.

Full Disclosure: Long CINF, HGIC. See a list of all my income holdings here.

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(Photo Credit)

Linked here is a detailed quantitative analysis of Cincinnati Financial Corp. (CINF). Below are some highlights from the above linked analysis:

Company Description: Cincinnati Financial Corp. markets primarily property and casualty coverage. It also conducts life insurance and asset management operations.

Fair Value: I consider four calculations of fair value, see page 2 of the linked PDF for a detailed description:

1. Avg. High Yield Price
2. 20-Year DCF Price
3. Avg. P/E Price
4. Graham Number

CINF is trading at a discount to 2.) and 4.) above. The stock is trading at a 12.5% discount to its calculated fair value of $36.34. CINF earned a Star in this section since it is trading at a fair value.

Dividend Analytical Data: In this section there are three possible Stars and three key metrics, see page 2 of the linked PDF for a detailed description:

1. Free Cash Flow Payout
2. Debt To Total Capital
3. Key Metrics
4. Dividend Growth Rate
5. Years of Div. Growth
6. Rolling 4-yr Div. > 15%

CINF earned three Stars in this section for 1.), 2.) and 3.) above. A Star was earned since the Free Cash Flow payout ratio was less than 60% and there were no negative Free Cash Flows over the last 10 years. The stock earned a Star as a result of its most recent Debt to Total Capital being less than 45%. CINF earned a Star for having an acceptable score in at least two of the four Key Metrics measured. The company has paid a cash dividend to shareholders every year since 1954 and has increased its dividend payments for 50 consecutive years.

Dividend Income vs. MMA: Why would you assume the equity risk and invest in a dividend stock if you could earn a better return in a much less risky money market account (MMA)? This section compares the earning ability of this stock with a high yield MMA. Two items are considered in this section, see page 2 of the linked PDF for a detailed description:

1. NPV MMA Diff.
2. Years to > MMA

CINF earned a Star in this section for its NPV MMA Diff. of the $618. This amount is in excess of the $500 target I look for in a stock that has increased dividends as long as CINF has. The stock’s current yield of 5.0% exceeds the 3.4% estimated 20-year average MMA rate.

Memberships and Peers: CINF is a member of the S&P 500, a Dividend Aristocrat and a member of the Broad Dividend Achievers™ Index. The company’s peer group includes: The Allstate Corporation (ALL) with a 2.6% yield, The Chubb Corporation (CB) with a 2.5% yield and The Travelers Companies, Inc. (TRV) with a 2.6% yield.

Conclusion: CINF earned one Star in the Fair Value section, earned three Stars in the Dividend Analytical Data section and earned one Star in the Dividend Income vs. MMA section for a total of five Stars. This quantitatively ranks CINF as a 5 Star-Strong Buy.

Using my D4L-PreScreen.xls model, I determined the share price would need to increase to $33.93 before CINF’s NPV MMA Differential decreased to the $500 minimum that I look for in a stock with 50 years of consecutive dividend increases. At that price the stock would yield 4.69%.

Resetting the D4L-PreScreen.xls model and solving for the dividend growth rate needed to generate the target $500 NPV MMA Differential, the calculated rate is 0.2%. This dividend growth rate is below the 1.0% used in this analysis, thus providing a margin of safety. CINF has a risk rating of 1.25 which classifies it as a low risk stock.

CINF was founded by independent insurance agents in order to better service their needs by providing them preferential treatment when picking an underwriter. The company primarily sells commercial property-casualty insurance with a smaller personal lines exposure marketed through a select group of about 1,100 independent insurance agencies. Like most financial services companies, CINF has seen its share of struggles. Back in December 2009, CINF’s Free Cash Flow payout was at 78%. Since then, the company has worked its FCF payout down to its present level of 47%. The company is more heavily exposed to equity risk than its peers; however management is taking steps to re-balance its investments. I will continue to add to my position in CINF when it is trading below my $36.34 buy price, and as my allocation allows. For additional information, including the stock’s dividend history, please refer to its data page.

Disclaimer: Material presented here is for informational purposes only. The above quantitative stock analysis, including the Star rating, is mechanically calculated and is based on historical information. The analysis assumes the stock will perform in the future as it has in the past. This is generally never true. Before buying or selling any stock you should do your own research and reach your own conclusion. See my Disclaimer for more information.

Full Disclosure: At the time of this writing, I was long in CINF (2.0% of my Income Portfolio). See a list of all my income holdings here.

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- More Stock Analysis

Start With a High-Quality List of Stocks

If you are looking for a higher-quality dividend growth stock, you have to go where they can be found. For me this is my Stock Ideas page. It consists of:

S&P 500 Dividend Aristocrats: is designed to measure the performance of S&P 500 index constituents that have followed a policy of consistently increasing dividends every year for at least 25 consecutive years. These stocks are the best of the best – the blue blood stocks.

Broad Dividend Achievers: is comprised of select US companies with at least ten consecutive years of increasing regular dividends. US companies must be listed on the NYSE, AMEX or NASDAQ. US Companies must have a minimum average daily cash volume of US$500,000 per day for the November and December prior to each Annual Reconstitution Date.

U.S. Dividend Champions: includes companies that had paid higher dividends for at least 25 consecutive years. The list includes some smaller companies not found on the other lists. This list is maintained by The Drip Investing Resource Center and is available on their website in an Excel spreadsheet.

Look For Sustainability

High-yield isn’t free. There is usually a reason one stock’s yield is higher than another and it is normally tied to risk. With all things being equal, the income investor would always select the higher yield stock, but all things are not equal. It is our job to identify what is driving a stocks yield up and determine if we are willing to accept the additional risk. When making this decision some of the things I consider are free cash flow, debt level, business model, among others.

Higher-Yielding Stocks To Consider

Putting it all together, I have identified 11 stocks that yield at least 5% and have grown their dividends for at least 5 years. They are:

Leggett & Platt, Inc. (LEG) makes a broad line of bedding and furniture components and other home, office and commercial furnishings, as well as diversified products for non-furnishings markets.
- 5.16% Yield
- 36.76% Debt To Total Capital
- 57.89% FCF Payout
- 38 Years of Dividend Growth

Urstadt Biddle Properties (UBA) is a real estate investment trust that acquires, owns and manages commercial real estate properties primarily in the northeastern United States.
- 5.17% Yield
- 30.87% Debt To Total Capital
- 58.27% FCF Payout
- 16 Years of Dividend Growth

Hudson City Bancorp Inc. (HCBK) operates over 100 branches in the New York metropolitan area. It caters to high median household income counties and focuses on jumbo mortgage loan funding, largely through time deposits.
- 5.26% Yield
- 72.57% Debt To Total Capital
- 52.23% FCF Payout
- 10 Years of Dividend Growth

Cincinnati Financial Corp. (CINF) markets primarily property and casualty coverage. It also conducts life insurance and asset management operations.
- 5.31% Yield
- 15.05% Debt To Total Capital
- 46.87% FCF Payout
- 50 Years of Dividend Growth

PP&L Corporation (PPL) is a holding company for PPL Utilities and a utility in the U.K.
- 5.53% Yield
- 37.55% Debt To Total Capital
- 99.92% FCF Payout
- 9 Years of Dividend Growth

National Retail Properties, Inc. (NNN) invests in high-quality, freestanding retail properties subject to long-term net leases with major retail tenants.
- 5.74% Yield
- 1.92% Debt To Total Capital
- 82.18% FCF Payout
- 19 Years of Dividend Growth

Verizon Communications Inc. (VZ) offers wireline, wireless and broadband services primarily in the northeastern United States. It acquired MCI Inc in 2006 and has since sold or spun off non-core assets. Alltel was acquired in early 2009.
- 5.94% Yield
- 38.59% Debt To Total Capital
- 31.49% FCF Payout
- 6 Years of Dividend Growth

AT&T Inc. (T) provides telephone and broadband service and holds full ownership of AT&T Mobility (formerly Cingular Wireless). AT&T Corp. was acquired in late 2005 and BellSouth in late 2006.
- 6.02% Yield
- 41.67% Debt To Total Capital
- 61.14% FCF Payout
- 27 Years of Dividend Growth

Suburban Propane Partners LP (SPH) markets propane gas and other refined fuels to residential, commercial, industrial, and agricultural customers.
- 6.08% Yield
- 43.49% Debt To Total Capital
- 88.83% FCF Payout
- 11 Years of Dividend Growth

Kinder Morgan Energy Partners LP (KMP) is one of the largest pipeline master limited partnerships (MLPs) in the U.S.
- 6.14% Yield
- 63.92% Debt To Total Capital
- 76.11% FCF Payout
- 14 Years of Dividend Growth

CenturyLink, Inc. (CTL) acquired larger telecom peer Embarq in a stock deal in July 2009. Combined, the company provides voice service to 6.7 million customers and Internet service to 2.4 million customers in rural towns as well as larger cities such as Las Vegas.
- 6.74% Yield
- 44.56% Debt To Total Capital
- 75.39% FCF Payout
- 37 Years of Dividend Growth

As note earlier, yield comes with a cost. Each of the above stocks carries some level of additional risk higher than the average Aristocrat, Achiever or Champion. Ideally, we will start building our income portfolios years before we need the income, but if that is not possible, diversifying and focusing on higher quality stocks should help reduce our overall portfolio risk.

Full Disclosure: Long LEG, NNN, CTL, T, CINF. See a list of all my income holdings here.

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(Photo Credit)

Dividends Received

Total dividends received during the month were $218.33, consisting of:

• $29.04 The Coca-Cola Company (KO)
• $7.57 Vanguard Intermediate-Term Bond ETF (BIV)
• $11.48 Genuine Parts Company (GPC)
• $14.96 Automatic Data Processing, Inc. (ADP)
• $31.68 Kimberly-Clark Corporation (KMB)
• $27.00 Leggett & Platt, Incorporated (LEG)
• $24.00 Cincinnati Financial Corp. (CINF)
• $38.00 Sysco Corp. (SYY)
• $4.90 PowerShares Emerging Mkt Debt (PCY)
• $29.70 Medtronic, Inc. (MDT)

Dividend Stock Purchases

The following securities were purchased during the month:

• 30 Shares Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) providing $64.80 in annual dividend income
• 50 Shares Harleysville Group Inc. (HGIC) providing $72.00 in annual dividend income
• 58 Shares AT&T, Inc. (T) providing $97.44 in annual dividend income
• 40 Shares Automatic Data Processing, Inc. (ADP) providing $54.44 in annual dividend income

Also, I liquidated my position in Vanguard Intermediate-Term Bond ETF (BIV).

Annualized Dividend Income

Including the above purchases, my annual PCP dividend income is now $2,494.16 at the current dividend rates. This is up $293.84 from last month’s $2,200.32 amount. The PCP has never had a monthly decline in annualized dividend income.

Portfolio Returns

• Month: 2.31%
• Year-to-date: 11.98%
• Life-to-date: 15.30% (annualized)

My PCP holdings are always available by selecting the Holdings option from the menu in the header. The next PCP update will be mid-December.

(Photo: sanja gjenero)

Dividend Investing is About Future Yield, Not Current Yield

I was fortunate enough to accidentally buy some good dividend stocks and hold them long enough to figure out the “secret” of dividend investing. It is not necessarily starting with a high-yield investment, but ending up with a high-yield investment. This usually occurs by buying investments with a moderate yield, a history of growing dividends and letting time do its job.

Too often we take a short-term approach, to our long-term detriment. There is a reason we don’t see infomercials selling dividend growth investment strategies. For those looking to get rich now, a disciplined approach to investing that focuses on the long-term simply isn’t appealing.

Successful Dividend Investing is About Substance, Not Style

In my aggressive growth investing years, I equated dividend investing with old folks and the inept. That was simply not my style. Time and experience have taught me there are no style points awarded in building a winning investment portfolio. In the end the long-term performance (substance) of your portfolio is all that ultimately matters, not how you got there.

I find it interesting that the same people that complain about taking a beating in the market, are the same ones who will ridicule those that follow a dividend growth strategy. For me, I enjoy having a growing income and portfolio, while not having to follow the market’s every move.

You Can’t Beat the Herd, by Following the Herd

Through the years I have settled down quite a bit. Using well-defined investment allocations, I have set boundaries and guidelines to ensure I don’t over expose my portfolio to undue risk and I employ a meticulous process when selecting investments.

Let the talking heads start a stampede to buy a stock after it has seen a significant run up. For me, I prefer to take a contrarian approach and buy stocks when they are cheaper and their yields are higher. My focus is on quality dividend growth stocks with a long record of consecutive dividend increases, such as:

Starting in my 40′s, I will enjoy substantial investing success. However, if I knew in my 20′s or 30′s what I know now about dividend growth stocks, I would likely be retired now.  The compounding power of growing dividends is tremendous. Start early, at some point time will change from your friend to your enemy.

Full Disclosure: Long KMB, ABT, CL, CINF, CLX. See a list of all my income holdings here.

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(Photo Credit)

The Allocation Dilemma

If your entire portfolio consists of income-based dividend stocks it would be very easy to end up over allocated in certain sectors.  Of the nearly 200 companies that I track, 15% of them are in the Consumer Goods sector. Furthermore, some of most well-known and very best dividend growth stocks are in this sector, including: Colgate-Palmolive (CL), Coca-Cola Company (KO), Pepsico, Inc. (PEP), Procter & Gamble (PG) and Kimberly-Clark Co. (KMB).

The relatively high yields of the Financial Services sector also make it appealing to dividend growth investors. The Financial Services sector is well represented in the stocks that I track, accounting for nearly 17%.With most banks falling out of favor, many higher-yielding insurance companies have filled the void, including: Erie Indemnity Co. (ERIE), Harleysville Group Inc. (HGIC), Cincinnati Financial Corp. (CINF) and  Mercury General Corp. (MCY).

In addition, the Healthcare sector produces several desirable dividend growth stock. These include: Abbott Laboratories (ABT), Cardinal Health, Inc. (CAH), Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) and Medtronic Inc. (MDT).

Judge Allocation Based On Your Total Portfolio

Instead of trying to preserve my allocation at the individual portfolio level (income, 401(k), IRA, etc.), I measuring asset allocation across my entire portfolio. You can’t truly determine your overall risk, unless you consider your entire portfolio. The first time I calculated my allocation across all my holdings, I was surprised at the outcome. Some of the areas I thought would be over-allocated were not, while other areas came up short.

Needless to say, the first time you look at allocation across your portfolio, there is fair amount of set-up work.  I have made available my DFL-Calc-Asset-Allocation.xls Excel spreadsheet to those interested in short-cutting some of the effort.

Set Limits On Individual Holdings

In addition to my overall asset allocation, I have set limits on individual stocks, Exchange-Traded-Funds (ETFs) and Closed-End Funds (CEFs). In setting these limits, you have to ask yourself, ‘What is the most I would be willing to lose, if a company went belly-up over night?’ For me and my risk tolerance, 5% was the amount I was comfortable with. I doubled the amount to 10% for funds (ETFs and CEFs) since they are invested in many different stocks. I did limit exchange traded notes to 5%, since your risk is effectively in the company issuing the security.

Sector-Basted ETFs

As a result of being over-allocated in two sectors and close on others, I began to investigate how I could target specific sectors where I was significantly under-allocated. I looked at two fund companies that offered sector-based ETFs, iShares and Vanguard. Their offerings were similar, and included: Consumer, Energy, Financial, Healthcare, Industrials, Materials, Real Estate, Technology, Telecomm and Utilities. In many instances the funds tracked the same indexes. As you might suspect, the Vanguard fund expenses are about half of the iShares funds. Most of the Vanguard sector ETFs charge a 0.25% management fee.

For some time, I have looked for appropriate income investments in the Utilities and Real Estate sectors. Unfortunately, they have been hard to come by. The Vanguard Sector ETFs just may help me increase my allocation in these areas, and few others. Here are three that I am currently evaluating:

Vanguard Utilities ETF (VPU) | Expenses: 0.25% | Yield:  3.76% : The fund employs a passive management investment approach designed to track the performance of the MSCI U.S. Investable Market Utilities 25/50 index. This index consists of all capitalization companies within the utilities sector. The sector includes electric, gas, and water utility companies, as well as companies that operate as independent producers and/or distributors of power. The sector includes both nuclear and nonnuclear facilities.

Vanguard REIT Index ETF (VNQ) | Expenses: 0.13% | Yield:  3.60% : The fund employs a passive management investment approach designed to track the performance of the MSCI® US REIT index. The index is composed of stocks of publicly traded equity real estate investment trusts (known as REITs).

Vanguard Telecom Services ETF (VOX) | Expenses: 0.25% | Yield:  2.61%:  The fund employs a passive management investment approach to track the performance of the MSCI U.S. Investable Market Telecommunication Services 25/50 index. The index is made up of stocks of large, medium-size, and small U.S. companies within the telecommunication services sector. The sector includes companies that provide communication services primarily through fixed-line, cellular, wireless, high-bandwidth, and/or fiber-optic cable networks.

In the past I owned VNQ in my income portfolio. After a period of time, I determined its erratic dividends were not appropriate for my income portfolio. After a quick look at VPU and VOX, I found that their dividends were not consistent and thus also not appropriate for my income portfolio. However, I will continue to give consideration to holding these ETFs outside my income portfolio – not as income investments but for allocation purposes.

Full Disclosure: Long CL, KO, PEP, PG, KMB, HGIC, CINF, ABT, JNJ, MDT. See a list of all my income holdings here.

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This expectation does not change even when the economy turns down and earnings decline; dividend growth investors still require annual dividend growth. The companies that are able to accomplish this are those with a operating model that generates strong free cash flows with room to pay out a higher percentage as dividends. Below are several companies with a low free cash flow payout (below 40%):

An interesting twist to the above is a 2006 study conducted by Credit Suisse that found high dividend yield stocks generally
outperformed those with lower yields. However, the best returns did not come from those with the highest yields, but those with higher yields coupled with low payout ratios. The study found that high yield, low payout stocks that produced the better returns were priced at low ratios of price-to-earnings, and as a corollary, at high ratios of earnings-to-price; i.e., earnings yield. Put another way, the stocks prices were depressed, thus creating the higher yield and a value play. Below are several dividend growth stocks with a higher yields (around 4%+) and low free cash flow payouts (50% and below):

At some point we will all want to retire, but that is not to say we want our portfolio to stop working for us. A good dividend growth stock portfolio will not only provide us income in our retirement, but provide us more income each year than the one before.

Full Disclosure: Long GD, MDT, ADP, PG, INTC, ABT, GPC, TEG, CINF, LLY, HGIC. See a list of all my income holdings here.

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